The World Bank has revised downward the forecast for Ukraine’s economic growth for 2026 – from 2% to 1.2%. This, UA.NEWS informs, is stated in the institution’s updated report, the PromPolitInform portal reports.
According to analysts, in 2025, the Ukrainian economy grew by 1.8%, which is also less than in 2024, when the figure was 3.2%.
Among the key factors of the slowdown are the destruction of energy and industrial infrastructure, supply disruptions, labor shortages and a high level of uncertainty.
“Growth is being held back by rising energy prices, the intensity of hostilities, personnel shortages and fiscal pressure,” the World Bank notes.
At the same time, if the war ends, economic growth rates may accelerate to 4% in 2027 due to reconstruction and revival of consumer demand.
Experts emphasize that for sustainable development, Ukraine needs deep structural reforms – in particular, the development of competition, a reduction in the role of the state in the economy and a more active attraction of investments.
Without this, as noted in the report, achieving the income level of EU countries may take decades.
The European Commission has offered Ukraine an alternative way to obtain financing against the background of the blocking of the main aid package by Hungary. The letter from European Commissioner Marta Kos to the Speaker of the Verkhovna Rada Ruslan Stefanchuk contains a list of 11 laws, the adoption of which will allow Ukraine to attract up to 4 billion euros.
