Information confirmed
On September 17, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk stated in the Sejm that intelligence assessments indicate Russia is preparing hybrid drone or missile strikes against nations supporting Ukraine, specifically targeting Poland.
This is reported by Ivan Arefiev exclusively for the Prompolitinform portal.
According to Tusk, Russia will attempt to pass off such strikes as “accidents” to sow doubt among allies and test whether NATO dares to invoke the collective defense clause. He emphasized that the intelligence is “highly consistent and compelling.” This statement has been corroborated by Polish and international media, including Polskie Radio, Associated Press, and The Guardian.
However, an important clarification is necessary: Tusk did not name a specific date, defined targets, or an approved Russian strike plan. It concerns an intelligence threat assessment and a potential scenario for a Russian operation.
What Russia is actually capable of
Moscow is unlikely to begin with a salvo of dozens of missiles on Warsaw. The Kremlin is cowardly where it understands that a strong response is inevitable. Therefore, it will act in its characteristic style—petty, malicious, and designed so that after the strike, they can still summon Zakharova to talk about an “Ukrainian provocation.”
The most likely scenario is not a large open attack, but a series of controlled provocations:
* a drone flying into or crashing on NATO territory;
* a strike near a border crossing or logistics hub;
* damage to civilian infrastructure with claims of a “navigation glitch”;
* sabotage, cyberattacks, arson, and GPS jamming;
* an information campaign claiming that NATO itself is to blame for the escalation.
The goal here is not military, but political. Russia wants to create a dangerous gray zone between “nothing happened” and direct aggression. One drone will be called an accident. A second, a technical error. A third, an incident that “needs to be thoroughly investigated.” And while European officials search for wording, the Kremlin will test where NATO’s patience ends and its helplessness begins.
This is exactly how Russia wages war when it fears getting hit: it doesn’t declare war, but crawls toward it on its knees, shielded by lies.
Is Russia capable of fighting NATO
Technically, Russia is capable of conducting isolated strikes, sabotage, and threatening border countries. But a full-scale war against all of NATO is an entirely different weight class.
The Russian army has spent years trying to capture Ukrainian cities, losing enormous numbers of personnel and equipment. Therefore, the tales of Moscow’s television marshals about “Berlin in three days” have about the same combat value as a cardboard tank in a parade.
Putin does not expect to defeat NATO in a major war. He wants to defeat it through the fear of a major war.
Therefore, the response must be crystal clear: every Russian drone over NATO territory is not an “unfortunate incident,” but a potential test of the collective security system. Every missile that supposedly “went astray” must end its route not with another expression of concern, but with concrete military and political consequences for Russia.
Because Russian missiles do not wander. They carry out tasks.
Russian drones do not mistake their country. They test the reaction.
And the Kremlin understands only one international language—when it feels pain after its insolence.
Moscow can flood Europe with drones, missiles, sabotage, and lies. But Russia is not all-powerful. It simply becomes more insolent every time it sees fear instead of a response.
Therefore, NATO should not be guessing whether a missile was “accidental.” It must ensure that the very thought of such an “accident” in the Kremlin triggers an involuntary urge to urgently check the integrity of all its bunkers.
‼️Conclusion: Tusk’s statement is not a cause for panic, but a warning about another Russian test. Putin will not be testing Poland’s air defense. He will be testing the political backbone of the entire Alliance.
Author: Ivan Arefiev
Photo collage: Andriy Atlantov
#IvanArefiev #Russia #Poland #NATO #DonaldTusk #Ukraine #HybridWar
Photo: Дональд Туск/фотоколаж Андрій Атлантов
