The Kremlin may be using historical symbolism to plan aggressive actions
NATO intelligence services are reporting a high probability of a Russian attack on the Baltic states in the near future. Experts highlight Moscow's use of historical dates and internal problems to pressure the Alliance. This was reported by Glavcom, according to the portal PromPolitInform.
Security agencies within NATO are growing increasingly concerned about the possibility of armed aggression by the rf against Baltic states. Experts suggest that the Russian leadership might implement such a scenario, considering a number of favorable circumstances and the need for escalation due to internal difficulties within russia itself.
The Kremlin’s historical symbols
Political scientist Mykhailo Basarab notes that Moscow pays particular attention to historical symbolism. Specifically, on September 28, 1939, a treaty was signed between the USSR and Germany, which secured the entry of the Baltic states into the Soviet Union’s sphere of influence. By October 10 of that same year, the states in the region were forced to concede to the Kremlin’s terms under the pressure of ultimatums.
Strategy of pressure on the Alliance
Analysts are convinced that to achieve their goals, the Russian authorities do not necessarily need to launch a full-scale classic war against the entire NATO alliance. The primary calculation is based on creating a crisis situation that triggers a chain reaction within NATO. Such actions are aimed at forcing the West to make concessions, particularly regarding issues concerning the security of Ukraine.
Despite the alarming signals, Russia’s capacity for prolonged combat remains limited. The main factor constraining the realization of the Kremlin’s aggressive plans remains the resilience of the Ukrainian state, which continues to hinder Vladimir Putin’s intentions, which he began to pursue as far back as 2022.
Illustrative photo: U.S. Army photo by Sgt. Cesar Salazar Jr. / Public domain
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